Currently, the Republic of Kazakhstan is developing a sovereign demographic system based on the socio-cultural, socio-economic preferences of the Kazakh ethnic group. The complexity of the problem is largely determined by the peculiarities of the history of Kazakhstan in the twentieth century, which significantly affects modern demographic processes. Demographic catastrophe of the 1920-1930s. significantly reduced the number of Kazakh ethnic groups. The migration tide replacing losses in Kazakhstan of the population from the regions of the USSR led to the fact that from the middle of the twentieth century the vector of demographic development of the republic was determined by the non-Kazakh population.
The demographic system of the Kazakh SSR consisted of the sum of ethnically differentiated demographic subsystems that developed according to independent scenarios. Kazakhs mainly lived in the villages of the republic, they were characterized by the traditional type of reproduction. A sharp reduction in mortality against the background of a high birth rate in the 1950s and 60s led to a rapid increase in the size of the Kazakh population. This phenomenon, called the demographic explosion, has great potential for the development of ethnic groups in the future.
Currently, Kazakhs are the majority of both the rural and urban population and determine the prospects for the entire diversity of the demographic development of the state. But the inertia of the past is still great. The acquisition of the status of a state-forming people did not become the basis for changing reproductive attitudes. Moreover, at the beginning of the XXI century there is an increase in the birth rate, primarily in urban settlements. Along with the increase in the birth rate, the population of retirement age is rapidly increasing, as the generation born in the 1950-60s enters the older age groups.
Thus, the demographic development of Kazakhstan is greatly influenced by both the inertia of the Soviet past and modern modernization trends. From this variety, the parameters of a sovereign demographic system based on the socio-cultural preferences of the Kazakh ethnic group are formed, its potential is formed.
The goal of the project is to determine the parameters and potential of the demographic development of Kazakhstan, based on formed in the XX – early XXI centuries. socio-cultural preferences of the Kazakh ethnic group, and manifested in the interaction of demographic explosions of the 1950-1960s. and 2000s.
To investigate the socio-demographic development of the Kazakh ethnic group in the 1920s and 1980s.
To study the features of the socio-demographic development of the Kazakh ethnic group at the end of the 20th - first quarter of the 21st centuries.
Develop educational content and multilingual web resource.
1.1. Study the impact of demographic disasters of the 1920-1930s. on the socio-demographic processes of the Kazakh ethnic group;
1.2. To investigate the causes and features of the demographic explosion of Kazakhs in the 1950-1960s.
1.3. To study sociocultural attitudes (education, language acquisition, preservation of traditions and customs, social mobility and the possibility of using social elevators, etc.) and demographic events (births in their sequence, death, marriage and divorce, etc.) that occurred in the life of representatives of the Kazakh ethnic group born in the 1950s-1960s, 1970-1980s. and 2000s. using anamnestic, statistical, sociological studies and media content analysis.
1.4. Analyze the influence of the socio-economic policy of the state on the demographic development of the Kazakh ethnic group in the second half of the 20th century.
2.1. To study the influence of “demographic waves” caused by a high natural increase in the Kazakh population in the 1950-1980s on modern demographic processes.
2.2. To study the phenomenon of the demographic explosion of Kazakhs at the beginning of the XXI century in new socio-cultural and socio-economic realities.
2.3. Assess the current state and potential of demographic development of the Kazakh ethnic group (regional features of population dynamics, urbanization and resettlement system, evolution of age structure, population aging, socio-cultural attitudes, migration processes).
3.1. Develop and implement educational content in the course “Using Tableau software to analyze and visualize statistical data.”
3.2. Develop and implement a multilingual web resource with a mobile version of the service.
3.3. To popularize and disseminate scientifically based knowledge about the historical and socio-demographic development of Kazakhstan in an open information space
Expected scientific results:
Expected scientific and organizational results:
An interdisciplinary approach to the study of problematic issues of the project (historical, demographic, sociological, IT technologies) will significantly strengthen the level of research work and expand the possibilities of studying the phenomenon of the modern demographic system of Kazakhstan.
The target consumers of the project results will be representatives of a wide scientific and civil community (NGOs and volunteer associations), government agencies.
The project will contribute to the digitalization of Kazakhstan’s scientific and public infrastructure:
– use of open source software (OpenSourceSoftware);
– visual representation of data using various methods and types of visualization;
– high performance.
The project is not commercial in its main content, but contains commercial potential, of interest to the business community at the level of the country’s regions.
Efficiency of results
The effectiveness of the results of the project is seen in the study of demographic development, taking into account the historical and sociocultural features of the Kazakh ethnic group, which preserves and produces the demographic potential of the modernization development of Kazakhstan. The results can be used to model the socio-economic development of the state and its regions based on demographic trends.
